基于DSR-云模型的高地温隧道施工安全评价

DSR-Cloud Model Based Evaluation of Construction Safety of Tunnels with High Geotemperature

  • 摘要: 文章针对高地温隧道施工安全建立一个合理、有效的评价体系,并进行综合评价,首先,运用DSR模型建立环境驱动力-监控量测状态-措施响应的评价指标体系;其次,利用变权理论确定指标权重;再次,通过云模型理论得到综合云模型数字特征值并生成云图,并结合所计算的最大隶属度确定评价等级;最后,将此评价方法运用于工程实例中加以验证。该工程实例所得结果显示其安全状态为中略偏较差,并筛选出了导致其安全等级下降的指标。结果表明:采用DSR模型所建立的指标体系全面且具有针对性;变权理论使得指标权重客观且符合实际;运用云模型化解了评价过程中定性概念模糊、随机的特性,使得评价结果更加合理有效。

     

    Abstract: With respect to the construction safety of tunnels with high geotemperature, this paper attempts to estab? lish an appropriate and effective evaluation system for a comprehensive evaluation. Firstly, it uses the DSR model to establish an evaluation index system of environment driving force - measurement state - measure response; Secondly,it determines the indicator weights by using the variable weight theory; Thirdly, it obtains the numerical eigenvalues of the integrated cloud model and generates the contours through the cloud model theory, and then determines the evaluation levels by combining the calculated maximum membership degrees; Finally, it applies this evaluation method to the engineering case for verification. The results obtained from the engineering case show that its safety state is slightly worse than medium, and the indicators leading to the decrease of the safety level are screened and picked out. The results show that the indicator system developed by the DSR model is comprehensive and relevant;the variable weight theory makes the indicator weights objective and realistic; the use of the cloud model dissolves the fuzzy and random characteristics of qualitative concepts in the evaluation process and makes the evaluation re? sults more reasonable and effective.

     

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