基于动态指示克里金的隧道地质建模与更新

Geological Modeling and Updating for Tunnel Engineering Based on Dynamic Indicator Kriging

  • 摘要: 为提高隧道施工中地层预测精度并实现模型全过程动态更新,提出一种基于动态指示克里金(Dynamic Indicator Kriging, DIK)的多岩性概率建模方法。该方法利用钻探资料构建初始地质概率模型,在掘进过程中依据掌子面揭露信息对岩性概率场与空间相关结构进行持续修正;采用各向异性变差函数表征围岩沿线连续性与垂向分异特征,结合最大后验分类与信息熵实现对预测结果和不确定性的定量评价。寨背山隧道剖面应用表明,该方法仅依靠稀疏钻孔即可重建主要地层格局,随着阶段性揭露数据不断增加,模型精度不断提升,岩性边界识别更加清晰,不确定性显著收敛。研究表明,动态指示克里金可实现隧道地质模型的滚动更新与高可靠预测,为施工过程中的地质信息集成、风险识别与智能化决策提供有效支撑。

     

    Abstract: To improve the accuracy of stratum prediction during tunnel construction and achieve dynamic updating of geological models throughout the excavation process, a multi-lithology probabilistic modeling method based on Dynamic Indicator Kriging (DIK) is proposed. An initial geological probability model was constructed using borehole data. During excavation, lithology probability fields and spatial correlation structures were continuously updated based on geological information revealed at the tunnel face. An anisotropic variogram was adopted to characterize the strong longitudinal continuity and vertical heterogeneity of surrounding rock. Maximum a posteriori (MAP) classification and information entropy were used to quantitatively evaluate prediction results and uncertainty. Application to the Zhaibeishan Tunnel section showed that the proposed method reconstructed the main stratigraphic framework using sparse borehole data. As excavation data were progressively incorporated, model accuracy improved continuously, lithological boundaries became clearer, and uncertainty decreased significantly. The results indicate that Dynamic Indicator Kriging enables rolling updates and reliable prediction of tunnel geological models, and provides effective support for geological information integration, risk identification, and intelligent decision-making during construction.

     

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