海域复合地层超大直径盾构掘进姿态控制参数智能预测模型

Intelligent Prediction Model for Attitude Control Parameters of Ultra-large Diameter Shield Tunnelling in Marine Composite Formations

  • 摘要: 为推进盾构自动化掘进的实现,提出一种基于多尺度卷积与注意力机制的盾构姿态控制参数智能预测模型。该模型通过学习珠海隧道盾构掘进真实数据,构建施工参数、姿态参数与六组推进油缸压力之间的复杂非线性映射关系,实现对盾构姿态调节所需油缸压力的智能预测。在此基础上,采用贝叶斯优化方法对模型超参数进行优化,通过消融实验与模型性能对比验证模型结构的有效性及其预测性能的优越性,并利用可解释性分析方法揭示输入特征对模型预测结果的影响。研究结果表明,所提模型在测试集上的各项评价指标均表现优异,平均绝对误差、均方根误差最大分别仅为1.064 6、1.982 2,决定系数(R2)高于0.98,预测效果优于多种对比模型,体现出优越的预测性能;同时,消融实验证实模型各模块对预测性能的提升均有重要贡献。

     

    Abstract: To facilitate the realization of automated shield tunnelling, an intelligent prediction model for shield attitude control parameters based on multi-scale convolution and attention mechanism is proposed. By learning from real-world shield tunnelling data from a tunnel in Zhuhai, this model constructed complex nonlinear mapping relationships among construction parameters, attitude parameters, and the pressures of six sets of thrust cylinders, thereby enabling intelligent prediction of the cylinder pressures required for shield attitude adjustment. On this basis, Bayesian optimization was employed to optimize the model hyperparameters. The effectiveness of the model architecture and the superiority of its prediction performance were validated through ablation experiments and model performance comparison. Furthermore, interpretability analysis method was used to reveal the influence of input features on the model prediction results. The research results show that the proposed model achieves excellent performance across all evaluation metrics on the test set: the maximum mean absolute error and root mean square error are only 1.0646 and 1.9822, respectively, and the coefficient of determination (R2) exceeds 0.98. The prediction performance outperforms multiple comparison models, demonstrating superior predictive capability. Concurrently, the ablation experiments confirm that each module of the model makes a significant contribution to the improvement of prediction performance.

     

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