基于固定分量数目的EMD-GRU盾构姿态分组预测研究

Study on Grouped Prediction of Shield Posture Based on EMD-GRU Model with Fixed Component Number

  • 摘要: 过大的盾构姿态偏差会对盾构施工安全和工程质量造成严重危害。为了准确预测盾构姿态偏差,为提前纠偏提供决策支持,提出一种基于固定分量数目的经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition ,EMD)-门控循环单元(Gate Recurrent Unit ,GRU)的机器学习算法,对不同方向盾构姿态偏差进行分组预测研究。研究结果表明:EMD可以将无规律的盾构姿态偏差信号分解为若干个有规律的分量,GRU可以提取输入数据的前后关联信息,实现对不同方向盾构姿态偏差的精准预测;采用固定EMD分解数量和分组预测的方法可以保证预测集和训练集的独立性,在与其他模型进行对比之后发现EMD-GRU模型为最优模型;通过分析不同输入参数组合对预测效果的影响,验证了同一方向上(水平或竖直)的姿态偏差存在相互影响。

     

    Abstract: Excessive shield posture deviations can severely compromise the safety of shield construction and project quality. To accurately predict shield posture deviations and provide decision support for early correction, a machine learning algorithm combining Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) with fixed component number and Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) is proposed for grouped prediction of shield posture deviations in different directions. The results show that EMD can decompose irregular shield posture deviation signals into several regular components, and GRU can extract temporal dependencies in the input data, enabling precise prediction of shield posture deviations in different directions. Using a fixed number of EMD decomposition components and grouped prediction method ensures the independence of the prediction and training sets. After comparison with other models, the EMD-GRU model proved to be the optimal model. The analysis of the effects of different input parameter combinations on prediction results verifies the interdependence of posture deviations in the same direction (horizontal or vertical).

     

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