超大断面高速铁路隧道围岩变形预测分析

Rock Deformation Prediction and Analysis in High-Speed Railway Tunnels with Larger Sections

  • 摘要: 为了提高隧道围岩变形预测精度,针对崔家冲隧道DK405+825断面的监控量测数据,分别建立了常规GM(1,1)模型、减小原点误差GM(1,1)模型和全信息非等步长GM(1,1)模型,对隧道的围岩变形进行了预测与精度对比。分析结果表明,三种灰色模型预测的结果均能满足工程精度要求,其中减小原点误差GM(1,1)模型预测结果相对误差最小,全信息非等步长GM(1,1)模型预测结果产生了较大滞后误差。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of rock deformation predictions, the general GM (1,1) model, reduced origin error GM (1,1) model, and holographic information unequal-step GM (1,1) model were established for an analysis of rock deformation prediction and accuracy based on monitored and measured data at DK405+825 of the Cuijiachong tunnel. The analytical results show that the predictions of the three grey models all met the requirements on accuracy, with the relative error of the reduced origin error GM (1,1) model being the lowest and the hysteresis error of the holographic information unequal-step GM (1,1) model being high.

     

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