公路隧道灾害事故分析及其风险评价

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摘要文章重点介绍了风险基本原理中的风险接受准则、个人风险、社会风险和环境风险的定义及计算方法，并对国内外公路隧道灾害事故进行了统计分析，得出了公路隧道灾害种类和伤亡人数的比例，确定火灾和汽车相撞为公路隧道两种最为常见的事故形式；基于对部分英国公路隧道的事故和火灾情况的调查，根据F-N风险接受准则得出了这些隧道的F-N曲线，研究分析了交通形式、交通量、车道宽度、车辆组成对隧道灾害概率的影响。

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关键词：

mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri 公路隧道 ')" href="#">mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">公路隧道 mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri 风险接受准则 ')" href="#">mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">风险接受准则 F-Nmso-ascii-font-family: Calibri 曲线 ')" href="#">mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">曲线 mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri 灾害概率')" href="#">mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">灾害概率

Abstract： In this paper, the basic principles of risk analysis such as acceptable risk criteria and definitions, the calculation methods for individual risk, societal risk, and environmental risk are introduced. Types of highway tunnel disasters and their proportion of casualties are obtained and the most two common highway tunnel disasters (fires and vehicle collisions) are determined by statistical analysis of highway tunnel disasters at home and abroad. Based on investigations of some highway tunnel disasters and fire accidents in Britain, the F-N curve of those tunnels is drawn by means of F-N acceptable risk criteria; the effects of traffic patterns, traffic capacity, lane width, and vehicles on the probability of tunnel disaster are then analyzed.

Keywords：

Highway tunnel, Acceptable risk criteria, F-N curve, Disaster probability

作者简介: 作者简介：周勇（1977-），男，工程师，主要从事公路隧道工程监理咨询工作，E-mail: 290869932@qq.com

引用本文:

.公路隧道灾害事故分析及其风险评价[J] 现代隧道技术, 2013,V50(5): 18-22

.Analysis of Highway Tunnel Disasters and Risk Assessment[J] MODERN TUNNELLING TECHNOLOGY, 2013,V50(5): 18-22

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http://www.xdsdjs.com/CN/ 或 http://www.xdsdjs.com/CN/Y2013/V50/I5/18