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现代隧道技术 2012, Vol. 49 Issue (3) :62-66    DOI:
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利用BP神经网络模型动态预测隧道涌水量——以铜锣山隧道为例
西南交通大学地球科学与环境工程学院
Dynamic Predication of Tunnel Water Inflow Based on BP Neural Network: A Case Study of the Tongluoshan Tunnel
Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University
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摘要     以垫邻高速铜锣山隧道为例,在分析隧道涌水和降雨响应特征的基础上,建立了综合考虑降雨脉冲、降雨累积效应和地下水系统整合作用的隧道涌水量预测的BP神经网络模型。计算结果表明,该模型对训练样本的拟合程度较好(平均绝对百分比误差为13.27%)且具有较高的预测精度(平均绝对百分比误差为15.05%)。该模型的建立和成功应用对丰富隧道涌水量的预测方法和动态指导隧道防排水管理具有重要意义。
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关键词隧道涌水井     BP神经网络     预测     响应     降雨量     
Abstract: On the basis of analyzing the features of tunnel water inflow and precipitation response, a BP neural network model considering the pulse effect, cumulative effect of the precipitation, and integration effect of groundwater system was built using the Tongluoshan tunnel as an example. The simulation results indicate that this model satisfactorily fits the training sample with a mean absolute percent error of 13.27% and has a relative accurate predication accuracy (mean absolute percent error of 15.05%).
Keywordsfont-size: 10.5pt,   mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt,   mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman',   mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt,   mso-ansi-language: EN-US,   mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN,   mso-bidi-language: AR-SA,   Tunnel water inflow, BP neural network, Predication, Response, Precipitation')" href="#">mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang="EN-US">Tunnel water inflow, BP neural network, Predication, Response, Precipitation     
基金资助:

基金项目:铁道部科技研究开发计划重点课题(2010Z001-D)

作者简介: 刘建(1982-),男,博士,主要从事工程环境控制技术研究,E-mail:liukai-102@163.com
引用本文:   
.利用BP神经网络模型动态预测隧道涌水量——以铜锣山隧道为例[J]  现代隧道技术, 2012,V49(3): 62-66
.Dynamic Predication of Tunnel Water Inflow Based on BP Neural Network: A Case Study of the Tongluoshan Tunnel[J]  MODERN TUNNELLING TECHNOLOGY, 2012,V49(3): 62-66
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