基于TCN-LSTM的盾构刀盘扭矩实时预测研究

Research on Real-time Prediction of Shield Cutterhead Torque Based on TCN-LSTM

  • 摘要: 盾构刀盘扭矩反映了刀盘与地层相互作用的力学特性,实时准确预测刀盘扭矩变化情况,可为掘进参数提前调整、机器平稳运行并减少刀具磨损提供保障。基于此,提出一种基于时间卷积网络(TCN)-长短时记忆网络(LSTM)的深度学习模型对刀盘扭矩进行实时预测研究。研究结果表明:TCN-LSTM模型能够捕捉输入参数的局部特征并建立长期依赖关系,相比于其他模型具有最高的预测精度;TCN-LSTM模型在多步预测中表现稳定,可以实现更长时间内的刀盘扭矩超前预测,按照4∶1∶1的比例划分数据集可以获得性能最优的预测模型。

     

    Abstract: The shield cutterhead torque reflects the mechanical interaction characteristics between the cutterhead and the stratum. Accurately predicting torque changes in real-time can help adjust tunnelling parameters in advance, ensure smooth machine operation, and reduce cutting tool wear. Therefore, this paper proposes a deep learning model based on Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for real-time prediction of cutterhead torque. The results indicate that the TCN-LSTM model can capture the local features of the input parameters and establish long-term dependencies, achieving the highest prediction accuracy compared to other models. The model performs stably in multi-step predictions, enabling longer lead-time predictions of cutterhead torque. A 4∶1∶1 data set split ratio yields the optimal performance for the prediction model.

     

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