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现代隧道技术 2017, Vol. 54 Issue (4) :41-47    DOI:
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隐伏溶洞对隧道施工安全影响的风险评估体系
(1同济大学岩土及地下工程教育部重点实验室,上海200092;2同济大学地下建筑与工程系,上海200092;3中交城市轨道交通设计研究院有限公司,武汉430056;4安徽省综合交通研究院股份有限公司,合肥 230000)
Risk Evaluation System for the Impacts of a Concealed Karst Cave on Tunnel Construction
(1 Key Laboratory of Geotechnical and Underground Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092;2 Department of Geotechnical Engineering College of Civil Engineering Tongji University, Shanghai 200092; 3 CCCC Rail Transit Consultants Co. Ltd., Wuhan 430056; 4 Anhui Comprehensive Transportation Research Institute Co. Ltd., Hefei 230000)
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摘要 作为岩溶地区隧道建设重大安全隐患的隐伏溶洞,易造成突水涌泥、坍塌和沉陷等严重事故,但对相关的风险辨识预警理论尚缺乏系统的研究。文章通过案例统计与理论分析,将隐伏溶洞致险因子划分为地质因素与施工因素两类,其中,地质因素包括:隐伏溶洞相对隧道所处方位、充填物类型与状况、溶洞与隧道间距、围岩等级和溶洞规模等五项;施工因素包括:超前地质预报和施工监测两项。基于致险因子与岩溶隧道施工事故的关系,采用层次分析法计算各致险因子的常权重值,并考虑到不同岩溶隧道的差异,在常权重基础上提出了变权重算法。针对岩溶隧道安全事故系统演化规律,确定致险因子评估取值范围,并给出了隐伏溶洞风险评估等级划分标准。最后结合工程实例,验证了文章所建风险评估体系的可行性和合理性。
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Abstract: Concealed karst caves, a major hidden danger in the construction of tunnels in karst regions, are in? clined to cause serious accidents such as water bursts and mud gushing, collapse and subsidence. Few systematic studies have been carried out concerning karst cave related risk identification and warning theories. Based on case statistics and theoretical analysis, geotechnical and construction risk factors were selected for studied. The geotechnical factors include the orientation of a karst cave relative to a tunnel, the type and filling condition of the karst cave, the interval between the cave and the tunnel, the grades of the surrounding rocks and the karst cave scale. The construction factors include advanced geological forecast and construction monitoring. Considering the relationship between risk factors and construction accidents regarding karst tunnels, the constant weights of various risk factors were calculated using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). In light of different karst tunnels, the weights of risk factors were calculated by variable weight theory based on constant weight. Considering the evolution rules of karst tunnel safety accidents, the valuing scope of risk factors was determined, and grading standards for the risk evaluation of concealed karst caves were presented. The feasibility and rationality of the evaluation system were verified through practical cases.
KeywordsKarst tunnel,   Concealed karst cave,   Risk factor,   Weight,   Risk evaluation     
基金资助:

基金项目:贵州省交通厅科技项目(2010-122-010,013,016).

作者简介: 作者简介:薛亚东(1971-),男,博士,副教授,从事隧道及地下工程围岩稳定性分析,支护结构优化设计、安全风险评估的教学与科研工作, E-mail: yadongxue@126.com
引用本文:   
.隐伏溶洞对隧道施工安全影响的风险评估体系[J]  现代隧道技术, 2017,V54(4): 41-47
.Risk Evaluation System for the Impacts of a Concealed Karst Cave on Tunnel Construction[J]  MODERN TUNNELLING TECHNOLOGY, 2017,V54(4): 41-47
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